What is inflation?
Inflation is the rise in the prices of everyday things over time. Stats NZ measures it every three months with the Consumers Price Index (CPI), the cost of a typical basket of goods and services, from food and petrol to rent and power.
If prices rise faster than your pay or your savings, you’re getting poorer without noticing.
$100 kept as cash would buy
$74
of today’s shopping
Something costing $100 today
$134
in 10 years
At 3% a year, prices double about every 23 years.
Why the Reserve Bank changes the OCR
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand sets the Official Cash Rate, which banks’ other rates follow.
- When inflation is too high, it raises the OCR. Borrowing costs more, people spend less, and price rises slow.
- When the economy is weak, it cuts the OCR to encourage borrowing and spending.
What it means for you
| What you have | When the OCR rises |
|---|---|
| Savings and term deposits | Usually pay more |
| Floating-rate mortgage | Repayments go up, usually within weeks |
| Fixed-rate mortgage | No change until you refix |
| Credit card | Usually little change: rates are already high |
| New loan | Costs more to take out |
Fixed mortgage rates follow what markets expect the OCR to do, so they can move before the Reserve Bank does. When your fixed term ends, compare your bank’s rates with others before you refix. Many people split their loan across two or three fixed terms, so not all of it refixes at once.
Beating inflation
What matters is your real return: what your money earns after tax and inflation. Your bank takes resident withholding tax from the interest first, so on 30% tax, a term deposit paying 4% leaves you 2.8%. With inflation at 3%, your money buys slightly less each year.
- RWT at 10.5% (income up to $15,600) 3.58% after tax
- You keep $358
- RWT at 17.5% ($15,601 to $53,500) 3.3% after tax
- You keep $330
- RWT at 30% ($53,501 to $78,100) 2.8% after tax
- You keep $280
- RWT at 33% ($78,101 to $180,000) 2.68% after tax
- You keep $268
- RWT at 39% (over $180,000) 2.44% after tax
- You keep $244
- PIE fund at 28% (top PIR) 2.88% after tax
- You keep $288
With prices rising 3% a year, an after-tax return below 3% buys less each year. Here, that's 4 of the 6 rates.
- Check your RWT rate. If it’s higher than your income needs, you’re losing more to tax than you should.
- Consider a PIE savings account or term deposit if you’re on 30% or more: tax is capped at 28%.
- Keep your emergency fund in savings anyway. Its job is to be there when you need it, not to grow.
- For goals more than five years away, investing, including KiwiSaver, has historically beaten inflation by more, with ups and downs. See investing basics.
See what your savings could earn with the savings interest calculator.