What is inflation?
Inflation is the rise in the prices of everyday things over time. The Australian Bureau of Statistics measures it with the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the cost of a typical basket of goods and services.
If prices rise faster than your pay or your savings, you’re getting poorer without noticing.
$100 kept as cash would buy
$74
of today’s shopping
Something costing $100 today
$134
in 10 years
At 3% a year, prices double about every 23 years.
Why the RBA changes the cash rate
The Reserve Bank sets the cash rate, which banks’ other rates follow. Its board meets eight times a year to decide.
- When inflation is too high, it raises the cash rate. Borrowing costs more, people spend less, and price rises slow.
- When the economy is weak, it cuts the rate to encourage borrowing and spending.
Banks set their own rates, so they don’t always pass on the full change, or do it straight away.
What it means for you
| What you have | When the cash rate rises |
|---|---|
| Savings account | Usually pays more, though banks don’t always pass it all on |
| Variable-rate home loan | Repayments go up, usually within weeks |
| Fixed-rate home loan | No change until the fixed period ends |
| Credit card | Usually little change: rates are already high |
| New loan | Costs more to take out |
- Rates up 0.25%, to 6.45% $98 more
- Now (6.2%): $3,675 After the rise: $3,773
- Rates up 0.5%, to 6.7% $197 more
- Now (6.2%): $3,675 After the rise: $3,872
- Rates up 1%, to 7.2% $398 more
- Now (6.2%): $3,675 After the rise: $4,073
Each 0.25% rise adds about $98 a month
Assumes the bank passes on the whole rise and the loan has its full term left. Cuts work the same way in reverse.
When a fixed period ends, loans usually roll onto a variable rate, often higher than what new customers get. Ask your bank for a better rate or refinance.
If rates are cut and your bank lowers your repayments, keeping them at the old amount pays the loan off faster. The extra repayment calculator shows how much sooner.
Beating inflation
What matters is your real return: what your money earns after inflation. Savings paying 4.5% when inflation is 3% grow by about 1.5% a year in real terms, before tax on the interest.
- Keep your emergency fund in a high-interest account or offset account.
- For goals more than five years away, investing, including your super, has historically beaten inflation by more. See investing basics.
- HELP debts are indexed to inflation or wages, whichever is lower, rather than charged interest: see HECS-HELP repayments explained.